The # 1 Predictor of Collapsing
Share Prices Just Issued a “Sell Now ” Signal for Small Investors

The last 56 times this happened the signal proved right 55 times! 
And small investors had the chance to turn $2,100 stakes
into upwards of $29,400 per trade.

But time is of the essence. 
The last collapse happened in just 24 days.

Dear Friend:

If you’ve ever climbed a mountain, a hill, or just a few flights of stairs, you know it takes longer to get to the top than back down to the bottom. 

The same is true of stocks.

Dozens of studies confirm this.   But Forbes recently summed it up best.

“These results are in line with our earlier research and reflect the fact that stocks fall a lot faster than they rise.”– Forbes, 4/22/09

Notice the words “a lot faster.”  They weren’t exaggerating…  

  • It took AIG 14 years to go from $50 to a $1,000 a share. Then it went from $1,000 to $50 in ten months.
  • Citigroup needed 12 years to go from $5 to $50.  But only 16 months to go from $50 back to $5
  • Fall is 21 times faster than the rise!And how about Ford?  It took ten years for the auto giant to quadruple from $2 to $8 a share.  Last year, it went from $8 to $2 in five months.

And it’s not just the “bad stocks.”  Take a look at the entire S&P 500….

chart

From October 2002 to October 2007 the S&P 500 rose 102%. That’s 5 years to double. Then it took only 9 months to drop by more than half and erase all those gains!

The same powerful effect applies to any type of stock you can think of: small, large, value, growth, foreign or domestic.  Doesn’t matter the industry or the sector…  

  • For tech stocks, 31 months of gains disappeared in 13 months.
  • Real estate stocks saw 76 months of gains vanish in 5 months.
  • Telecom stocks had 3 1/2 years of gains disintegrate in 2 months!

It’s like a law of nature… 

Gravity is stronger than helium and stocks fall much faster than they rise.

I’m writing to you today to share with you a unique way to harness this “force” for your personal benefit.  To turn some of those fast drops into fast profits.

An amazingly accurate and highly selective system for predicting falling share prices just came out of “hibernation” and issued a sell signal for the first time in over seven months.  Well, not just a sell signal, it shouted “TIMBER!!!” on a company that could deliver $7,400 for every $1,000 you invest. 

And since we’ve recently seen this kind of sharp drop occur in as little as 24 days… time is of the essence.

Introducing “The Credit Crunch Short Indicator”
A Ruthlessly Efficient Technique for Profiting from the Market’s “Weakest Links”

To understand how this remarkably accurate system works, consider how a lion chooses its prey.  It targets the weakest member of the herd. It might be lame, sickly or one of the youngest, not yet able to defend itself.  Whether we like it or not, this is the way nature operates… how it “culls the herd.” 

In the stock market you’re not going to pounce on an innocent animal. But to make the fastest (and often surest) profits the market offers, the same basic principle applies.  In order to “make a killing,” you need to focus on the weakest links. 

This is exactly what the Credit Crunch Short Indicator does.

The name is a mouthful. But it says exactly what it does. 

1, 2, 3, 4The Credit Crunch Short Indicator (or CCSI, for short):focuses on companies going through a credit crunch (and in this economy few aren’t). Then it whittles them down to the absolute weakest links.  It only pulls the trigger under very specific conditions.  (This is to dramatically increase your odds for success—as much as 98%.) Once the indicator is hit, you “short” the stock (which simply means you make money as the shares fall).

Hence the name.  But to keep things simple, we’ll just call it the CCSI for now.

“The U.S. recovery is a tale of two economies. At one extreme of Corporate America is a cadre of companies.... with slumping sales that can't borrow or are facing stiff terms to do so.”

- The Wall Street Journal

But whatever you call it, the most remarkable thing is its accuracy.  The last 56 “sell” signals it issued resulted in stocks falling in 55 of those cases—anywhere from 20% to 100%.  The performance has been so consistent, in fact, that…
 
I had second thoughts about sharing this with you, for fear you wouldn’t believe me!

Let me pause a moment so we can talk about “the elephant in the room.”  If I was you, I’d be very skeptical right now.  A track record of 55 accurate calls out of 56 attempts seems too good to be true.  And I agree. It actually worried me and caused my colleagues and me to work overtime the last few months, trying to make the system fail. 

I would be much more comfortable to report it worked 55 out of 75 times. That would still be great. And it would be more believable.  But it wouldn’t be true. 

Very Rarely!As I’ll explain, the Credit Crunch Short Indicator is made up of four criteria that appear very rarely in any one stock.  That’s the reason for its amazing success.  It’s extremely selective. 

Silence speaks volumes

I have to admit after many years in search of this kind of system for profiting from falling stocks, I was getting somewhat excited by our unexpected overwhelming success with the Credit Crunch Short Indicator. But with every correct call, I also grew a bit more skeptical. 

I’ve been around too long not to know that nothing is perfect…and very few things are even close to perfect.  Maybe a winter evening down here in Florida, The Godfather Parts I and II, and the way Tiger Woods hits a golf ball.  And that’s about it. 

So, for me, the ultimate proof in the pudding was something that—in some ways—is even more remarkable than the indicator’s 98% accuracy rate.  And that was this…

During the recent 50%+ bull market rally The Credit Crunch Short Indicator didn’t “chirp” once.  Not a sound! 

Despite a universe of nearly 63,000 public companies worldwide to choose from, and after a string of 98% accuracy spanning nearly three years, it went dead silent. 

It only started up again last week.  Like a trusty old boiler that kicks on again the first cold day of winter, the CCSI revved up and spit out its first sell signal in over seven months!

This system doesn’t issue false signals.  (Fortunately for us! The last thing you want is to short stocks during one of the strongest market rallies in history!)  In baseball terms, it lets a lot of close pitches whiz by. Even if it has to let the bat sit on its shoulder for quite a few innings.

But when it swings, it tends to connect.  And when the sell signals come, they tend to come in bunches.

Let me tell you how and why The Credit Crunch Short Indicator works, and why it’s “acting up” again.  (Five other stocks are on the verge of hitting their fourth trigger and could soon issue CCSI Sell Signals.)  Then I’ll show you how to use these signals to turn investments of $700 into $6,308… $2,300 into $11,247… and $2,400 into $32,520!

(In fact, if you wanted to go “economy” you could have risked as little as a few hundred dollars per trade!  The affordability is tremendous.  That’s why I refer to these incredibly accurate sell signals as perfect opportunities for “small investors.”)

Then I’ll let you decide if you want to be one of 871 invitees to try the system without risk and with a remarkable savings. 

Pouncing on wounded antelope

As I was saying a moment ago, the Credit Crunch Short Indicator has such a high accuracy rate because it’s extremely selective.  Specifically, a stock needs to hit four very specific criteria to issue a sell signal. You rarely find three of them in one stock at the same time—much less all four.  But 98% of the time, when you do find all four triggers, they lead to big profits as the stock falls.

Take Boeing for instance…

chart

Boeing was getting its clock cleaned by Airbus (which has the unfair advantage of European government subsidies). Canceled orders and growing cash flow problems started to show up in the financial statements. Then Trigger # 4 kicked in, confirming credit crunch problems were starting to show up in the share price… and it was “Watch out below!”

Here’s another example…

chart

Teekay’s an oil services company and plunging oil prices started to show up in the financial statements.  It lost nearly a half billion dollars last year while debt grew by nearly $3 billion from two years earlier. These and other credit crunch problems set off triggers 1, 2 and 3. But the 4th trigger didn’t set in until almost a year after the other three. But once it did, it was almost a straight shot down.

I could show you 53 more examples just like these.   But I have something more interesting to show you.  How to trade the “predictable” collapse of stocks like these for profits of 389%, 801% and 1,255% in a very short time, usually just a matter of months.

The Credit Crunch Short Indicator lets you short a stock using the most profitable and least risky method available

When you “short” a stock the traditional way, if it falls $10, you make $10.  Fair enough.

But there’s another way to short a stock where you can make far more while risking less!  It’s called a “put option.”  Combined with the Credit Crunch Short Indicator, it’s an extremely powerful way to make money.

To see the huge difference this makes, take a look at Boeing again. 

chart

When the Credit Crunch Indicator issued a sell on Boeing, you could have sold short 100 shares of Boeing the “traditional way.” You would have risked about $8,400 and made $4,400. That’s a 52% return in six months.  Good work. 

But if you bought “puts” on Boeing, you could have controlled twice the amount of shares for less than half the money and made nearly twice the profit! 

With an investment of just $2,300, your profit would have been $8,480 in the same amount of time… a 369% return! 

A Tale of Two “Short Sellers”
How to Risk Less and Make More
Credit Crunch Indicator Flashes the Sell Signal and Boeing Crashes 52%

Boeing

Traditional Short Seller

Put Buyer

Investment

$8,340

$2,300

Profit

$4,440

$8,480

Return

52%

369%

It doesn’t just apply to Boeing. With put options and the Credit Crunch Short Indicator you can do it on one stock after another—as long as they get the all-important sell signal.  The result is you’ll make more while risking less. 

Take another look at Teekay, for instance.

chart

You could have shorted $4,600 worth of Teekay stock and made $1,800.  That’s about 40% in ten months. Very nice.  But you could have done better. 

Instead, you could have paid $2,350 for puts on Teekay. Ten months later they were worth $7,750, for a 230% return.  You’d risk about half as much and make more than three times the money!

You would have done even better with Xerox.

chart

After the Credit Crunch Short Indicator issued the sell signal, Xerox fell 55%.  But just a $2,100 investment in put options would have turned into $18,930—an 801% return!

Imagine the difference these trades could have made in your life last year. When you saw your IRA or 401(k) getting whacked a few thousand dollars every other day it seemed to know you’re able to make a good portion of it back, or more.

Then using the Credit Crunch Short Indicator to make more money in a bear market in months than most investors make in years. 

What peace of mind would this give you?  What would you do with that added security, confidence and money?  To have a trading portfolio where you profit from the weakest links in the market, effectively protecting the “long” positions you own in your retirement portfolio

To know your overall portfolio continues to grow year after year… including years when you have the opportunity to even double it or more?  And not worry about being sent back to “Go” and having to start all over again?

motoOne trader I know took his profits from a single successful (and rapid) short trade and decided to treat himself to a “tricked out” motorcycle.  It was a “toy” he thought maybe was a bit too extravagant… until he booked some pretty extravagant profits.

Another just dropped out of work for a couple of weeks and with his wife took a long-dreamt-of drive through historic towns and cities in the South and Southwest.

However you want to spoil yourself when you start making money on the “short side,” is fine with me.  But I think you’ll especially enjoy knowing your financial future no longer hinges on stocks going up forever. You’ll have more options and maybe breathe a little easier. Like having, well, more money in the bank!

As I said, there are more than 50 additional examples I could give you of the Credit Crunch Short Indicator creating huge opportunities for profits in put options. But first, let me show you how we discovered it in the first place and why it works so incredibly well.

A common denominator of great investors

My name is Justin Ford.  I’m the Executive Editor of The Sovereign Society.  I’ve been steeped in the investment business for over 16 years and in that time I’ve noticed that the most successful investors (whether it’s top performing hedge fund managers or legendary value investors) tend to do at least one thing in common…

They play both sides of the market!

They go long (bet stocks will go up) and short (bet stocks will go down).  Sometimes they’re more long than short… sometimes they’re more short than long (like last year).

“Short selling has become an important trading strategy, particularly among the high-volume traders.”

The Wall Street Journal

But they’re always looking for the best buying opportunities on the long side… and they’re equally ready to act on great short-selling opportunities at the same time. It’s not either/or for these guys.

They go for “the best of both worlds” and it’s the key reason for their consistent success.  That’s how they’re able to post “absolute returns,” which is Wall Street lingo for making money in both bull and bear markets (not just beating the indexes!).

On the surface, this might not seem like such a big deal…

But can you imagine if your boss only paid you for days the sun shined?  On rainy days, he’d say, “we’re going to take money from you today rather than pay you!”

That would be INSANE.  But it’s not much different than an investor who only makes money when stocks go up… and then loses it the rest of the time! 

That’s why you need a real-world system that lets you make money when stocks go down.  Otherwise, you’ll never get off the financial treadmill.  It’s two steps forward and one step back. (Sometimes it’s two or three steps back—like today, where stocks are still below their levels of ten years ago!)

I began to understand the importance of this ten years ago, when tech stocks were approaching an unbelievably dangerous peak. But it took a long time and a lot of trial and error to finally find a system that truly gives you a legitimate (in fact overwhelming) edge for shorting stocks.

A short selling star is born

About five years ago, some of my colleagues and I at the Sovereign Society began to search in earnest for proven and reliable short selling systems. But it wasn’t until Andrew Packer agreed to take up the quest full time that we started seeing real progress.

Andrew is an Austrian school economist who’s been investing since he was 12 years old.  His father has tutored him on the markets and money since he was a kid.  While other kids were reading comic books, Andrew was collecting silver coins, buying his first mutual fund shares and reading the adventures of Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch. 

Today, Andrew knows his way around a balance sheet like very few people I know.  He’s an expert at crunching numbers and “reading between the lines” (unfortunately a necessary skill in today’s not always “forthright” business environment).  He also has an almost obsessive work ethic. (That comes in very handy when screening thousands of stocks and back-testing scenarios and companies going back years.)

His training and dedication eventually paid off in spades. But it wasn’t until he proved a lot of current popular theories about shorting don’t actually work.  For instance…

Insider sales aren’t helpful.  Everyone thinks insider sales are the way to go. But things are never that simple. After hundreds of tests, we found this indicator actually gave more false signals to short sell than any other potential indicator.

"I don’t pay attention to ratings.  [I] don’t think Moody’s or S&P should be telling us the rating of a company."

—Warren Buffett

Credit downgrades by the major credit rating agencies don’t work.  The credit ratings of the major agencies are compromised. How can Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch’s honestly rate a company that’s paying them a fat fee to rate them?  We all know the system is a joke… but the sad part is that investors lost trillions in the credit collapse as so many big stocks they owned fell to practically nothing even though they had pristine credit ratings when the crisis hit! This is one reason so called "sophisticated investors" from college endowments to school boards and insurance companies took big hits when the credit crisis hit. They relied on these ratings. That was a big mistake.

Wall Street’s “sell” recommendations are also unreliable.  First a "sell rating" from a major Wall Street firm is rarer than a purple elephant. No one on the Street wants to anger a company that could be a potential client on the investment banking side.  At the same time, Wall Street’s bias is always to the buy side. They make more commissions that way.  They make nothing if they tell you to sit in cash for a while.

So what did work?  It turned out…

CREDIT (OR THE LACK OF IT)
WAS THE KEY

As Andrew and his research team mixed and matched hundreds of possible indicators, one came up paramount time and again: a company’s credit health. 

Specifically, if a company has ample cash on hand—or access to cash in the form of credit lines and loans—it has a much better chance of weathering tough times.  And if it doesn’t have enough cash or credit on hand, it’s in trouble. 

It makes sense when you think about it. After all, there’s a reason the Small Business Administration says the # 1 cause of business failure is a lack of working capital.  A.K.A., a “Credit Crunch.” No reason it shouldn’t be the same with bigger businesses.

But what was the best way to screen thousands of companies for credit health… so you could whittle them down to the most vulnerable… the “wounded antelopes” ready to be devoured? The answer was a complete surprise…

“3 Words: Altman Z Score”

photo
When scanning for “wounded antelope,” Andrew has to see all four triggers at once for the CCSI to issue a sell signal. It’s a fairly rare occurrence. But when they do appear together, we’ve found historically the stock has a 98% chance of taking a steep dive.

Andrew’s focus on credit quality and liquidity ultimately brought him to the “Altman Z Score.”  It’s a formula developed by NY University finance professor Ed Altman in the 1960s as a way to measure the likelihood of a company’s bankruptcy.

The Score involves five key financial ratios. The first four are working capital, retained earnings, operating income and sales, each divided by total assets. The last is market capitalization divided by total debt. I don’t expect you to memorize this or jot it down. The point is that it’s nowhere near as simple as a P/E ratio or Price-to-Book or other commonly used metrics. Consequently, most of the investing public is not even aware it exists. But the obscure indicator has a devoted following among many financial professionals, especially lenders and bond investors.

The New York Times has called it, “a reliable formula for evaluating the health of companies.” 

Fortune Magazine says, “Z is where it’s at… [It’s] no joke. It enables you to predict which companies will go bankrupt and which won't.”

Forbes calls it “a unique model… a formula that measure company distress.”

Bloomberg calls it, “a mathematical formula that measures a company's bankruptcy risk.”

And one of the best things about the Z Score is it’s completely impartial. Companies do not pay to get rated! So there’s no conflict of interest. When a company’s financial statements show its ability to pay its bills is declining... the company’s Z Score declines as well, whether the managers like it or not!

One study put the Z Score’s accuracy at 72 percent. In an interview with Bloomberg last year, Altman himself claimed it was between 80 and 90 percent. During the interview he also said GM and Ford were likely to go into bankruptcy. Within a year of that prediction, both automakers fell by more than 75%.

this was another surprise!But the Z Score, in itself, was not enough!

First of all, individual investors themselves couldn’t make much use of it.  From what we’ve seen, the score is only available on paid sites and expensive ones at that. The provider we use costs $24,000 a year. 

But, more importantly, you also don’t want to short just any company with a low Z Score. That’s not enough in itself. In fact, it could be disastrous because some companies have Z Scores that dip temporarily and then rally as the company improves. Others may keep low Z Scores for years while the share price stagnates or even rises. 

The key, we realized early on, wasn’t just the score itself… but the momentum and direction of the score! This was the key! When we combined a failing Z Score with these two factors and technical indicators for share price action as well, we came up with a 4-point system that was so accurate at predicting falling share prices that we still spend one or two days a week just trying to make it fail again!  But in vain! These are the four pillars! You need ALL four for the “sell” signal.

I’m not at liberty to reveal the full details of the momentum and price indicators of the Credit Crunch Short Indicator for proprietary reasons, but I can give you an overview. 

  • The first indicator is the score, which shows the company is in trouble.
  • The next two confirm momentum and direction.  In other words, the company’s credit crunch is getting worse.
  • The 4th indicator confirms it’s showing up in the price action. 
  • Once you have all four at the same time… you’re off to the races.

That’s exactly what happened with Boyd Gaming Company (BYD), a struggling casino operator…

chart

And LDK, a NYSE-listed Chinese solar power company…

chart

And shipping company Excel Maritime as freight rates plummeted…

chart

unbelievable but 100% true!Notice the power of combining put options with the Credit Crunch Short Indicator. Excel Maritime fell from about $35 to $4, a huge drop.  But if you had bought just $2,400 of the right put options, you would have made $27,000 in profits—a 1,255% return!

That means for every dollar fall in the share price you would have made $946! And without putting a great deal of money at risk! 

Excel Maritime
Shares Fall $31 → Puts Soar $27,000!

That’s the beauty of put options. They give you leverage without debt. You have limited risk and greatly increase your profit potential. Take the Xerox trade we looked at before.  The stock only fell about $7—from $13.24 to $5.90. But a $2,100 investment in Xerox puts would have produced $16,830 in profits

Xerox
Shares Fall $7.34 → Puts Soar $16,830!

Do the math and it works out to $2,293 in profits for every dollar the stock fell! This letter would be too long if I tried to include charts and examples for every one of the 55 accurate sell signals and the profits you could have made. But the list goes on…

Credit Crunch Short Indicator
Triggers Amazing Profit Opportunities as Stocks Fall

Wounded Antelope

CCSI Issues
Sell Signal

Stock Falls

Put Option Rises

Saks, Inc. (SKS)

1/30/2009

-34%

+157

Blue Coat Systems (BSCI)

4/30/2008

-52%

+179%

Avis Budget Group (CAR)

12/31/2007

-88%

+373%

Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB)

3/31/2008

-79%

+153%

Excel Maritime Carriers (EXM)

6/30/2008

-93%

+280%

General Maritime (GRM)

4/2/2007

-78%

+159%

Leap Wireless (LEAP)

6/30/2008

-64%

+265%

Alliant Energy (LNT)

6/30/2008

-40%

+155%

Louisiana Pacific (LPX)

6/30/2008

-86%

+177%

Lifetime Fitness (LTM)

12/31/2007

-84%

+162%

Rockwood Holdings (ROC)

12/31/2008

-56%

+197%

Savient Pharmaceuticals (SVNT)

9/30/2008

-80%

+252%

Ameristar Casinos (ASCA)

12/31/2007

-78%

+398%

Bristow Group Inc. (BRS)

9/2/2008

-55%

+480%

Seacor Holdings (CKH)

6/30/2007

-44%

+271%

Global Industries LTD (GLBL)

12/31/2007

-90%

+616%

*All information in this letter is as of October 13, 2009.

This is the incredible strength and consistency of The Credit Crunch Short Indicator.  And since now—after seven quiet months—it’s ringing again like a bell at the fire house, I’m going to encourage you to act now by making you a very special offer with a triple guarantee and substantial savings substantial savings.

We’ve introduced this breakthrough system to the public with $1 Million in Price Concessions...

Only $92,800 is available as of today…

In the last year alone I estimate we spent over $100,000 developing, fine-tuning and testing the Credit Crunch Short Indicator.  For instance, we paid $10,000 just for a subscription to a service that tracks insider buying in companies in the U.S. and Europe. 

It’s a good service and useful for quite a few things, especially gauging market sentiment.  But it doesn’t turn out to be an accurate predictor for shorting the shares of an individual company.  It doesn’t tell you why insiders are selling or when to pull the trigger.  It’s close but no cigar.  But it’s $10,000 if you want the data.

Or suppose you invested with the most successful short seller working today, hedge fund manager John Paulson.  For the last two years, he has made his investors a ton of money by shorting the “weakest links” in the market.

Last year, when the average investor was stuck in index funds losing 37%, you would have made 37%.  The year before that you would have made 589.6%! 

The trouble is, his fund (and funds like his) have investment minimums of $1 million to $5 million. But imagine if he let you put just $10,000 into his fund back in 2007.

Your modest stake would have grown to $94,475 after two years—instead of losing money in the S&P 500. And that would have been after you paid him his fees. What kind of fees are we talking about? 

Most hedge funds charge a 2% management fee and 20% of profits. At that rate your bill would have come to more than $22,900! 

And it would have been worth every penny… 

Ideal for skeptics and independent thinkers;
“victims” need not apply

Of course, we’re not going to charge $22,000 or even $10,000.  We’ve created this service for individual investors who reject the “victim” mentality.  This service is for people who don’t believe in “get rich quick schemes” but understand there are things that are proven to work… and there are things that are proven to be disastrous! 

If you haven’t burned your copy of Stocks for the Long Run yet, you can go ahead and do so now.  That “classic” was written 11 years ago and that S&P 500 index fund you bought back then is still underwater!

Look, there have been 31 bear markets since 1900. That’s almost three every decade. So far we’ve had two brutal bear markets this decade and investors who saved, worked, “played by the rules” and believed Wall Street’s long-only and often totally compromised research are now less well off than they were ten years ago.

And as for the pessimists who think they’re “realists”… the ones who think, “That’s just the way it is.  You can’t really beat the market.”  Unfortunately, they’re probably right for them.  Because that kind of defeatist attitude tends to become a self-fulfilling prophecy. 

Look, after two ugly crashes this decade, plus an unprecedented real estate crash and the worst recession in 80 years, people are hurting today.  If you’ve escaped the mayhem, consider yourself fortunate (even though you’ve no doubt earned your good fortune).  And if you are one of the many who’s hurting, this is a chance to do something about it.

Let me share with you what another famous and very wealthy short seller once said under similar circumstances…  

“I think that short-selling is a perfectly legitimate thing… And I believe that if the American people had been more familiar with it ... during the boom our conditions would not have become so bad. Short-selling has its place and a very good place, too."

Talk about contrarian! That quote is from John Jacob Raskob, testifying before the U.S. Congress in 1932 at the depths of the last Great Depression. And Raskob is the guy who built The Empire State Building (one of the greatest buildings of all time) in the middle of the Depression!  That takes independent thinking and guts—traits that are not uncommon among the great short sellers.

My point is, if you don’t feel comfortable being part of the “me too” crowd, blindly following the herd… if you’re determined to do all you can to make good money in bull and bear markets… I’m giving you a no-risk opportunity to see for yourself just how far you can go.

Access to the Credit Crunch Short Indicator—and every sell signal it issues, the day it’s triggered—costs $1,997 a year. (The price for institutional trading desks is $10,000 a year.  If you are ordering on behalf of a corporation or trading group, call (561) 274-6443.) But if you’re one of the first 312 people to respond to this letter, you’ll save $300 and pay just $1,697. You can save substantially, thanks to our “Million Dollar Limit.”

You see, for our recent launch we budgeted $1,000,000 in total price concessions. Now only $92,800 in price concessions remains. That’s works out to 312 spots left at a savings of $300 person.

So if this sounds like something that’s tailor-made for you (and if you’ve stayed with me this far, you’re probably the kind of tough-minded, independent investor we’re looking for) then take action right now.  Click here or at the end of this letter.

If you prefer to speak to someone, call my office at (561) 272-0413. If you get voice mail, I suggest you leave a message and call back. And if you don’t get through within ten minutes, just jump online and secure your spot. You can talk to someone tomorrow after the frenzy dies down. It’s risk-free anyhow with a 100% money-back guarantee for the first 60 days so it’s best not to risk losing your spot because of busy phone lines.

The opportunity you have in front of you right now
is limited and truly extraordinary

Let me tell you exactly what you get when you gain access to The Credit Crunch Short Indicator.

You get a proven shorting system that focuses on one thing and one thing only: when to sell a stock.  If you own the stock, you can get rid of it and preserve your capital.  If you don’t own it, you can buy the put option we recommend and position yourself for substantial profits as the shares fall.

That’s the whole nine yards. It’s a targeted system that’s been so successful because it’s very specific and very selective.

It doesn’t tell you when to buy or how to diversify. It doesn’t deal with mutual funds or ETFs. It has nothing to do with anything but selling short individual stocks. To be more precise, it tells you exactly when to short the weakest public companies in the market at the point when their shares are most vulnerable. 

And which put option to buy for the best bang for your buck.

The moment you sign up, I’m also going to send you three reports.  These aren’t “bonuses” with imaginary values to get you to part with your hard-earned money. (I hate marketing “ploys” probably more than you do. They make my job, which is to help create and sell the highest quality investment services we possibly can, that much harder.)

We don’t need these kinds of trinkets and I’m assuming you don’t either because if hypey, get-rich-quick reports are the type of thing that get you excited, you’re not the kind of person we’ve designed this system for. The Credit Crunch Short Indicator is real.  And the value is in the system itself

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If that’s not as plain as day by now, then I’m afraid we’ve both wasted our time. But I’m confident that’s not the case. Because if you’ve invested the time with me this long, my guess is you see full well that this system can change the way you invest and has the potential to change your life. You’ll no longer be a helpless victim of bear markets, and you can begin to make money from both sides of the market—from shares going up and shares going down. 

The three reports I’m going to send you are simply tools you’ll want to have when you start using the Credit Crunch Short Indicator. 

The first is the CCSI Trading Manual.  This is the “Rosetta Stone” of short selling.  This manual tells you exactly how we built the indicator, how the Altman Z Score came to play such an important role, and the functions of the other three criteria. You’ll see each of the four triggers in action and understand why—when combined—they accurately predicted sharply falling share prices in 55 out of 56 cases.

Next, you’ll receive the CCSI Options Primer.  The problem with most trading systems is they leave too much to chance. You can get the trend right but the trade wrong. We designed The Credit Crunch Short Indicator to avoid that by focusing very stringently on what to short, when to short and the best way to short. The CCSI Options Primer will show you how we pick the options we believe are going to give you the greatest risk-adjusted returns. In plain language, puts that return $16,830 with just $2,100 at risk (like the Xerox puts did) or return $27,000 with $2,400 at risk, like the Excel Maritime puts.  If you’ve never traded options before, this primer will give you a solid understanding of the fundamentals and allow you to buy puts on CCSI-triggered companies with confidence. 

You’ll get the Credit Crunch Short Report to Investors. This is the report that’s actually going to give you the chance to start making money.  The first thing you’ll read is the brand new CCSI-triggered short recommendation. Remember, the Credit Crunch Short Indicator “went to sleep” for the entire 50%+ market rally that started back in March (which proved its worth even more when you think about it. The last thing you want to do is short stocks in one of the most powerful market rallies in decades.) But now it’s awoken and just issued its first sell signal in over seven months. Time is of the essence. When a stock finally meets all four CCSI criteria, it’s a relatively rare event. Shares may “hover” for a few days or weeks before breaking down. But other times there is no “range-trading period” at all and it just falls immediately and sharply, like it stepped off a cliff. The time to place your trade is now. 

In this same report, you’re also going to get the CCSI Watch List. A few months ago, there were no stocks on this list as the market was heading straight up and stocks weren’t even coming close to hitting the CCSI criteria. Today, there are five stocks on this list. They’ve all met the first three triggers for a CCSI sell signal and are “knocking on the door” of the fourth.  If and when any one of them should move from Watch List to “Sell,” we’ll immediately notify you and recommend which put option to buy. In the meantime, you’ll get a background on the candidates. You’ll see why and how they are inches away from the gaping jaws of their creditors. And you’ll be fully prepared to act if the Credit Crunch Short Indicator gives the signal.

A Guarantee as unique and powerful
as the system itself

Over a span of nearly three years, the Credit Crunch Short Indicator averaged almost two sell recommendations a month. This is not a “busy” system. It doesn’t try to catch every stock that’s going to fall. Just the ones with the highest probability. That’s why it posted a 98% success rate. And that’s why it went completely “mum” when the recent steroid-fueled market rally took place. 

My point is, the goal of CCSI isn’t to issue recommendations. It’s to make you money.  And it does that by focusing only on the very weakest links in the market, “the wounded antelope.”  So you’ll certainly hear from us at least once a week. Andrew will update you on open positions, and send you a special alert when it’s time to sell your put (close your position). He’ll fill you in on what companies are on the Watch List and what’s happening there. But we’ll never force a recommendation.

The only time we’ll issue a recommendation is when a stock meets ALL of the CCSI criteria. This is a case where three out of four isn’t good enough and “almost” doesn’t get to play. That’s the only way for us to take care of our # 1 Responsibility, which is to protect your capital while still giving you the opportunity for exceptional profits.

The Credit Crunch Short Indicator isn’t some gimmick to sell a service. It’s not a made-up methodology that you’ll never hear about again once you join the service. IT IS THE SERVICE.

No CCSI sell signal.  No Recommendation. It’s that simple.

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This isn’t a “roll the dice” service. This is a service where we only play our hand if we can see most or all of the dealer’s cards and we’re 98% certain we can beat him!

In any successful business or investment venture you’ve had in your life, you’ve probably experienced the benefit of sticking with proven criteria.  When you “cheat” on those criteria “just a little” to make the deal “pencil out,” nine times out of ten you end up cheating yourself and losing money.  So our strict approach should give you a high level of comfort. Yet, at the same time, it raises an important question…

What happens if the Credit Crunch Short Indicator goes silent for an extended period of time? The short answer is, you’re more than covered.

You’ll continue to hear from us every week but most importantly you’re guaranteed to receive at least 24 CCSI-triggered investment recommendations during your subscription. And only CCSI-triggered recommendations.  If the market doesn’t end up giving us at least 24 CCSI recommendations in the course of year, then I’ll automatically extend your subscription at no cost to you until you get a minimum of 24. 

So you’re covered in three ways.

  1. You have the 60-day, 100% money-back guarantee. This is your chance to test-drive the system risk free. (The only thing I ask is that you be honest with yourself and us. In other words if you’re one of those perennial “tire kickers” who like to send away for things for free because… why not, it’s free?  Please don’t take me up on this offer. It is not meant for you. The service is too valuable and you’d be taking the spot of someone who is seriously interested in it and may seriously need it. But if you’re truly interested in trying out The Credit Crunch Short Indicator but you’re a “show me” type of person, by all means sign up now. The 100% no-questions-asked guarantee is written with you in mind.  Knowing you’re that type of person, if you end up canceling it’s likely because we didn’t quite live up to our promise (no matter how diligently we tried). And in that case it’s only right that you should get every dollar you paid back, promptly!)
  1. You’re guaranteed to receive at least 24 CCSI-triggered put recommendations or we’ll automatically extend your subscription until you receive at least 24. And if the market starts to turn down and turns out 30 or 40 in a year?  You get the 30 or 40. Because you’re guaranteed to receive AT LEAST one year of service AND AT LEAST 24 trade recommendations.You could get much more.
  1. You’re guaranteed that every trade recommendation you receive will be a CCSI-triggered trade. There will be no other kind. If we find another kind of approach works better (and we haven’t in years of testing, back-testing, stress testing and re-testing) we’d rather fold CCSI and create a new service based on the better method. But I sincerely doubt that would ever happen since we’ve tried all the most popular (and many esoteric) short selling systems and none could hold a candle to the Credit Crunch Short Indicator. 

This last guarantee, in my opinion, is the most valuable of all because it’s the system itself that radically lowers your risk and dramatically increases your chance for profits on every trade.

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The Time to Act Is Now

Stocks tend to fall much faster than they rise. And bear markets can wipe away years of gains in months. Those are the facts. 

You can shrug your shoulders and say there’s nothing you can do about it. Or you can take action and let those forces work in your favor. I suggest you take action.

Regards,
Justin Ford signature
Justin Ford, Executive Editor
The Sovereign Society

PS Shares of the stock with the new CCSI sell signal are down again. Last week they fell nearly 4% in a single session. That kind of price action is often a sign a stock is about to “break down.” When that happens, the puts can go vertical.

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