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The Swiss Alternative

Alettermock2
Thursday, October 5, 2006 Vol. 8 No. 199
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In Today's Letter:
Comment:
The Swiss Alternative Offshore:
Monaco By the Numbers Wealth:
Bonds Rally Hard Privacy:
Belgians Demand Financial Privacy
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The Swiss Alternative
Dear A-Letter Reader,
In recent days I have written many complimentary words about
Switzerland as I traveled with The Sovereign Society's European Banking
Tour.
In Zurich I was reminded once again, first hand, that Switzerland
gives a genuine welcome to foreigners, their money, and investments. We
saw this at SwissFirst and Bank Julius Baer, in contrast to what I have
called "the mass production mentality of American banks." The Swiss
manage over $3 trillion dollars of offshore assets for investors from
around the globe. They invented and excel at private banking. That's
one of the many reasons we've chosen Switzerland as our number one
offshore haven nation. Not a tax haven per se, it is the leader in
world banking, asset protection, insurance and investments. As an
added, and very important guarantee, all this is done within a shield
of financial privacy and banking secrecy guaranteed by law.
But Switzerland has sometimes been the butt of unkind comments. In
1922, the late Ernest Hemingway was quoted as saying: "Switzerland is a
small, steep country, much more up and down than sideways, and is all
stuck over with large brown hotels built on the cuckoo clock style of
architecture."
Well, that's still partially true almost a century later, but today
there are many good reasons, beyond cheese and watches, to respect
Switzerland.
For example, the World Economic Forum has just rated Switzerland as
the world's most competitive economy. And who lost the number one spot
to the Swiss? The United States slipped to sixth place from last year
in the group's annual rankings.
The World Economic Forum is not just another think tank. It is
funded by more than a thousand corporations and is perhaps best known
for its annual conference in the Swiss ski resort of Davos. It has
published respected competitiveness reports since 1979. The rankings
include grades for about 90 variables ranging from innovation to
education as well as the results of a global poll of 11,000 corporate
executives. The choice of Switzerland was thus an international
consensus.
Switzerland came in first largely because of its reputation for
innovation, research and development, and its scientific
infrastructure, the forum said. Switzerland, Europe's eighth largest
economy, may grow close to 3% in 2006, the largest increase in six
years, based on Swiss central bank forecasts. Swiss exports rose 8.6%
in the first eight months of 2006, boosted by demand from the 25 nation
European Union, which buys 60% of Swiss output.
Deficit spending and a continuing huge imbalance in trade hurt U.S.
competitiveness, together with increasing doubts about the
effectiveness and trustworthiness of the Bush administration, based in
part on the government's bungled reaction to Hurricane Katrina which
undermined public confidence, according to the forum. While the U.S.
remained the best nation in which to do business, the forum ranked the
United States 69th for its overall economic environment. Not good news
by any measure.
We don't cite these conclusions with any great satisfaction, but
rather as additional support for what we have repeatedly said about the
effectiveness of Switzerland as an offshore asset haven and as a base
for banking and global investment. When we talk about Swiss banking,
Swiss annuities, Swiss life insurance, Swiss investment managers, each
of these important financial factors are integrated into a larger
national economy that is strong because of its many parts.
Switzerland is not only a nation that we can recommend, in some
important respects, as the Forum noted, its definitely outpaces the
United States. It's worth your consideration and we can tell you how
best to take advantage of the Swiss alternative.
That's the way that it looks from here. BOB BAUMAN, Editor
EDITOR'S NOTE: Want to learn how to move your
assets to stronger asset havens like Switzerland, Denmark and
Liechtenstein? Consider joining us for the Offshore Advantage Symposium
in Puerto Vallarta, Mexico next month. You'll learn how to set up your
own bank account, plus the most effective ways to move all, or a
portion of your assets offshore. A-Letter Readers: Click Here for more information. Sovereign Society Members: Click Here.
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Monaco by the Numbers
For
decades the Principality of Monaco has been the leading and most
exclusive residential tax haven for the world's ultra-wealthy. (Except
for Rich Frenchmen who are excluded under a tax avoidance deal with
neighboring France). Aside from enjoying the balmy Riviera climate and
the Monte Carlo gaming tables, those with money here enjoy some of the
tightest banking secrecy laws anywhere in the world. The tradition of
financial secrecy has been so strong that it was big local news this
week when it was announced that, for the first time, Monaco will begin
calculating and publishing the figures for its GDP -- gross domestic
product. But locals assured outsiders that those high net worth
individuals considering moving to Monaco because of the zero income tax
should not worry. The GDP move was pushed by Prince Albert, who became
ruler just over a year ago, after the death of his father, Prince
Rainier. His father transformed the Principality into the world's best
known tax haven in the fifty years of his rule. Albert is interested in
foreign affairs and the UN requires GDP figures for full participation.
BOB BAUMAN, Editor
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Bonds Rally Hard as the Real Estate Market Crumbles
I'm still very
bullish on U.S. Treasury bonds over the next 12-18 months as the
Federal Reserve caves in to fight the real estate bear market. Since
June 30, U.S. 30-year Treasury bonds have soared 8.4% while benchmark
10-year T-bonds have rallied 5.4%, easily outpacing the gains generated
by stocks. With inflation peaking for this economic cycle and
consumption trends ebbing, the Federal Reserve will begin cutting
short-term rates next year. It's particularly worrisome that home
prices have corrected sharply over the last 12 months, suggesting the
main source of spending for American consumers has evaporated.
Though I don't expect an economic recession in 2007, a mid-cycle
slowdown which arrived in July will continue to place pressure on the
Federal Reserve to create liquidity. Lower U.S. short-term rates will
spark one of the best years for stocks and bonds in 2007, a
pre-election year and historically, the best 12-month period to be
invested in common stocks since 1950. Also, commodities, suffering
their worst correction in five years this fall, will also recover
sharply as the Fed prints more money to alleviate stress in U.S.
consumption. This month, I'm writing a special report on bonds, making
the case for high quality dollar-denominated debt in 2007, including
high values in closed-end bond funds trading at 10% discounts to net
asset value and yielding in excess of 7%. Plus Sovereign Society
members should check out my article in this month's TSI for the best
way to profit from this bond rally.
ERIC ROSEMAN, Investment Director
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EU Central Banks Let U.S. Ride Roughshod Over European Privacy Laws
Recently,
European news sources revealed that the European Central Bank (ECB)
knew the U.S. was conducting surveillance over global financial
networks, but failed to intervene for nearly four years.
Beginning in 2002, the Belgium-based Society for Worldwide Interbank
Financial Telecommunication, or SWIFT, turned over data from millions
of global financial transactions to U.S. anti-terrorism investigators,
without official approval from any EU or national authority.
National central banks in EU countries were also aware of the
surveillance, but also failed to take any action to stop it or to even
notify authorities in their own countries.
Does this mean that when the U.S. decides to conduct illegal
financial surveillance in Europe, it can do so with total impunity, and
count on the complicity of national authorities?
Not if Belgian Prime Minister Guy Verhofstadt has his way.
Verhofstadt is furious that his government wasn't informed of the
surveillance. Now, the country's Data Privacy Commission has released a
report concluding that the release of data clearly violated Belgian
law.
But it's not clear that Verhofstadt's concerns will go anywhere.
SWIFT is overseen by the central banks of the G10 countries (Belgium,
Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden,
Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States) along with the
European Central Bank. When confronted with a secret U.S. court order
to release the data, SWIFT informed these central banks that it would
comply with the order.
In other words, the authority that should have intervened on SWIFT's
behalf failed to act. And there's no one watching the watchers.
MARK NESTMANN, Privacy Expert & President of The Nestmann Group
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