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Freedom, Privacy and Prosperity in the Offshore World
Legislating Morality
October 6, 2006


The
            Sovereign Society Offshore A-Letter

 


Friday, October 6, 2006
Vol. 8 No. 200
In Today's Letter:
Comment: Legally Moral
Offshore: Vote in the Canal Zone
Wealth: The Commodity Blues
Privacy: Protect Your Laptop from Hackers
Legislating Morality

Today's comment is by John Pugsley, Chairman of The Sovereign Society. A long-time hard-money advocate, he authored several best-sellers in the 1970s and 1980s, including Common Sense Economics, The Alpha Strategy, and The Copper Play. He is currently editor of The Stealth Investor, The Sovereign Society's investment trading service that focuses on precious metals and other hard assets.

Dear A-Letter Reader,

This is a test. Can you see the relationship between these two news stories?

"The U.S. Congress has passed a law, the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, banning the use of credit cards, checks, and electronic fund transfers for Internet gaming, and President Bush is expected to sign it."

"Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger called on state legislators to take "swift and dramatic action" to fix what he called a "dangerous situation" in California's jam-packed prisons. Prison officials warn they will simply run out of prison beds by June. Already inmates are stacked on double- and triple-bunks in gymnasiums and day centers."

Answer: It's cause and effect. Any law that forbids individuals from using their own property as they please is certain to increase the need for prisons. Criminalizing voluntary exchanges between individuals (victimless crimes) increases the profitability of supplying outlawed products, creates a black-market rife with violence, decreases respect for law, fills prisons, and increases the power of the state. It doesn't matter if it's gambling, drugs, alcohol, sex, or cigarettes.

Today in the majority of the U.S. federal prison population, the criminal and the victim are the same person . The 800-pound gorilla in victimless crime laws was Prohibition in the 1920s and is the war on drugs today. In 1970, 16.3 percent of all federal inmates were imprisoned on drug-related charges. In 2002, that percentage had jumped to 54.7 percent. And it's even higher today.

According to the U.S. Justice Department, "While the number of offenders in each major offense category increased, the number incarcerated for a drug offense accounted for the largest percentage of the total growth (49%)." In 1980 the incarceration rate for drug offenses was 15 inmates per 100,000 adults; by 1996, it was 148 inmates per 100,000 adults. It's much higher today. So, we just build more prisons.

The Urban Institute's Justice Policy Center reported that: "Over the last 25 years, the number of state facilities increased from just fewer than 600 to over 1,000 in the year 2000, an increase of about 70 percent. In other words, more than 40 percent of state prisons in operation today opened in the last 25 years."

Laws to regulate voluntary exchanges between consenting adults are ubiquitous in history, with prohibition of alcohol being the most prominent. The first half of the 20th century saw periods of prohibition of alcoholic beverages in several countries: 1901 to 1948 in Canada; 1914 to 1925 in Russia; 1915 to 1922 in Iceland; 1916 to 1927 in Norway; 1919 to 1932 in Finland; and, of course, 1920 to 1933 in the U.S. They all failed, of course.

Gambling also has a history of such nonsense. In 1875, a report of a select committee of the New York State Assembly stated that "the lowest, meanest, worst form, however, which gambling takes in the city of New York, is what is known as policy playing [the numbers game]." Of course, they outlawed it. Yet today, state lotteries offer "daily numbers" games where the state's rake is typically 50% rather than the 20%-40% of the numbers game.

Politicians that enact these laws are morally disabled. On one hand they pretend to be protecting the poor workers from losing their money, while on the other they create state-run lotteries that offer suckers odds that would make any gambling casino operator salivate.

Why do politicians do it? It's win-win for them. On one side they get the votes of religious moralists who believe it's evil to gamble. On the other side, they get contributions from lobbyists for gambling enterprises that want to block competition (licensed casinos, Indian casinos, race tracks, etc.), prison-guard associations, companies that sell such things as food and uniforms to prisons, and of course the companies that build and manage prisons.

Bah, humbug. The problem isn't that we don't have enough prisons. The problem is that there are laws against consensual behavior. Here at The Sovereign Society we stand for individual liberty. Sovereign individuals don't need Big Brother to tell them what to do with their own property.

JOHN PUGSLEY, Chairman on behalf
Of The Sovereign Society


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Offshore

Panama Canal Vote

Panama City, Panama: On Oct. 22nd, 2.1 million Panamanians will be eligible to vote on whether to widen the famous Panama Canal, a decade long project that could cost as least an estimated US$5.25 billion. A recent national poll reported 63.9% of Panamanians are in favor of the project and 24.8% opposed. The referendum honors a campaign promise of Panama's president Martin Torrijos to let the people decide. Assuming a favorable vote, an already booming Panama economy could get another major boost of construction spending and thousands of new jobs. Panama already has a healthy offshore economy as a major world tax haven offering special residential status and tax breaks for foreigners who move there. Meanwhile Nicaragua claims to have plans to build a waterway linking the Pacific and Atlantic that would carry the bigger ships. President Enrique Bolanos said the new route, which would cost US$18bn would take 12 years to complete. A similar Nicaraguan canal was rejected a century ago in favor of the existing Panama Canal route.

BOB BAUMAN, Editor


Wealth/Investments

Commodities Got the Blues

Gosh, it's tough to be a commodity bull this fall...

Amid the worst correction for commodities since 2001, the CRB Index of 19 commodities has plunged  20% with the benchmark declining below important support of 300 on October 3rd.  Since late August, a seasonal pullback in energy and precious metals prices has combined with economic angst to create a web of bearish sentiment towards resource equities.  Plunging U.S. bond yields, a stable dollar and  rising inventories for crude oil, gasoline and natural gas have all contributed to the ongoing sell-off. Quite frankly this is the worst correction I've seen for raw materials since I started writing Commodity Trend Alert (CTA) in July 2001. Corrections are normal in a bull market, of course, but the size and severity of this decline has been frightening, even for an experienced global investor like myself.

So what do we do now? Is this the end of the five-year bull market for commodities?

Bull market corrections typically shake-out the unseasoned bulls. I think we're getting very close to that point now in early October. The hedge funds, individual speculators and other traders that rode prices to parabolic levels over the last 12-18 months are now closing-out positions and unwinding leveraged bets. Previously, I thought this process was completed when commodities suffered their first crack last May. But this latest decline, even worse than the May-June plunge for raw materials, is probably the beginning of the end for the big trend-followers like hedge funds. These guys are getting killed since late August. In fact, most macro hedge funds, which trade global markets long and short with leverage, were heavily net long oil and mining heading into September. I've got a feeling many of these gunslingers have left the party over the last week following heavy losses. That's a big plus for commodities and the primary trend, which remains bullish.

ERIC ROSEMAN, Investment Director


Privacy&Rights

How to Protect Your Wi-Fi Communications from Hackers

Recently, I purchased my first laptop computer equipped with a wi-fi card.  It's marvelous. I love being able to take my laptop into a coffee shop or other "hot spot" and connect to the Internet or read e-mail, without being tied down to a central location.

But there's a hidden threat to wireless Internet connections: they're incredibly vulnerable to being monitored by hackers. For instance, anyone using the free Netstumbler program, an application that "sniffs" for nearby WiFi wireless signals, can find your connection.  Moreover, in the hands of a skilled hacker, someone using a program like Airsnort can see everything on your PC, including the entire contents of your hard disk. 

Potentially, the situation is even worse-if you're connected through a wi-fi to a "secure" network at your office, the hacker has the same access rights to the network as you.  Anything you can see, the hacker can see-confidential client data, trade secrets, etc.

To protect yourself, the first step is to only use wi-fi networks that are secured. You can identify them by the "lock" symbol that appears when you log on to them. You'll have to pay for access to these networks, but if you're doing anything confidential on them, the expense is well worth it.

Second, use a good firewall program to prevent hackers skilled enough to penetrate the secured network from gaining access to your PC. 

Third, if others are using the same network (e.g., the guy at the next chair drinking a Frappuccino), don't access any secure websites (e.g., your office network or your bank account) that you don't want others to see.

These rules are easier to state in writing than to apply in practice, but if you follow them, you'll be on the road to much safer wi-fi connections.

MARK NESTMANN, Privacy Expert & President of The Nestmann Group
www.nestmann.com


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