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Freedom, Privacy and Prosperity in the Offshore World
Not Just for Screening Terrorists Anymore
December 21, 2006


The
            Sovereign Society Offshore A-Letter

 


Thursday, December 21, 2006
Vol. 8 No. 253
In Today's Letter:
Comment: Not Just for Screening Terrorists
Offshore: Hong Kong's Economy Takes Off... Again
Currencies: Is the Dollar Rally Over?
The Real Purpose Behind the
Terror Screening System

Today's comment is by Mark Nestmann, Wealth & Preservation & Tax Consultant for The Sovereign Society.

Dear A-Letter Reader,

I'm bewildered over all the fuss surrounding the recent revelations that every international traveler entering or leaving the U.S. for the last four years has been given a "terrorism risk" assessment. And this assessment will reside in a secret file for 40 YEARS after the border crossing.
I'm not disputing that this is an outrageous and unacceptable invasion of privacy, and that 40 years is far too long to keep this information on file. But come on now, people, what do you expect?

We've accepted the "no fly" rules like sheep. How do you think the government has decided who to put on the no-fly list? Through the secret terrorism risk assessment system, of course. Indeed, I suspect the no-fly list wouldn't exist without this system in the first place.

I've long maintained that the "no fly" rules have very little to do with security and are in fact designed to identify political opponents to the Bush administration. This may sound like a paranoid fantasy, but here's my reasoning.

According to the Homeland Security Administration (HSA), about 400 million people enter or leave the U.S. each year. HSA won't say how many of these people it considers terrorists, but there are about 44,000 on the no fly list, as of late September. We know the overwhelming number of these people are NOT terrorists. After all, people like Sen. Ted Kennedy are on the list. But let's say that 1% of the people on the list are, in fact, terrorists.

That means that for each terrorist the HSA's super-duper data-mining software correctly identifies, it misidentifies 100 people as potential terrorists. If in fact, the HSA's efforts have resulted in terrorists being apprehended-and the HSA is not saying is has-then some might believe this is an acceptable cost. But consider that the people on the no-fly list include 14 of the Sept. 11 2001 hijackers who have been dead for five years. It also includes convicted terrorist Zacarias Moussaoui, now serving a life sentence, and Saddam Hussein, who has been sentenced to death in Baghdad. Given these facts, you begin to wonder how accurate this system really is, and what its actual purpose might be.

The HSA surely knows this. Yet it persists in its data-mining program, ostensibly to find terrorists. They persist in spite of the number of falsely identified terrorists vastly outnumbering real terrorists, not to mention having numerous dead and incarcerated real terrorists on its no-fly list. So then what is the real purpose of the HSA program?

It turns out that looking for other types of people who are not as rare as terrorists is much more plausible using data-mining technologies. For instance, there are a lot of international travelers who don't like George Bush. Some of them may subscribe to anti-Bush publications, make phone calls to other people who don't like Bush, etc. Since all of these records are "mined" by the National Targeting Center, it would be easy for the HSA to use this information to identify Bush political opponents.

In other words, while the HSA program is almost useless for identifying terrorists, it's an extremely effective way for the government to engage in mass political intelligence gathering. And that's what I think it's being used for.

MARK NESTMANN, Wealth Preservation & Tax Consultant,
on behalf of The Sovereign Society

EDITOR'S NOTE: Did you hear that? If you're an international traveler, they keep a secret terrorist file on you for 40 years! So if you went to Europe last summer, the U.S. government will have your terrorism file until 2046. And that's assuming you never fly abroad again. If the government has a whole file on you just because you dared to fly overseas, imagine what they know about your finances. It's time to fight back to claim at LEAST your financial privacy, if you can't even fly without creating an entire file.    


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Offshore

Hong Kong's Economy on a Tear

There are good reasons why Hong Kong is one of the Sovereign Society's five top choices for offshore financial centers. Recent statistics show Hong Kong's economy continues to grow. Foreign direct investment climbed 15.2% over 2004 to $4.056 trillion in 2005. Although mainland China accounted for 31.4% of investments, the British Virgin Islands and Bermuda provided 31.3% and 6.7% of the total of inward direct investment. Much of this is thought to be reinvestments by Chinese who use these tax havens as a base for business operations. Other major investor countries included the Netherlands and the U.S., accounting for 8.1% and 5.1% of the total.

Hong Kong is fast becoming one of the leading world stock markets. A record amount of funds have been raised during 2006 by new listings on Hong Kong's stock market putting it in the running against London and New York for the global top spot. Hong Kong has raised at least US$34.8 billion in initial public offerings so far this year. That is well above the US$21 billion in IPO funds raised in 2005, already a record year. New listings on London's exchanges have raised about US$40 billion and New York's stock exchanges so far placed in third place with about US$30 billion.

And there's more good news. Hong Kong decided to scrap a controversial proposal to impose a goods and services tax. Opinion polls showed widespread opposition to the tax, especially in the business community. The proposed tax would have levied a 5% tax, the first of its kind in Hong Kong where both individual income and corporate taxes are attractively low.

BOB BAUMAN, Editor


Wealth/Investments

Is the Dollar Rally Ancient History?

This week, currency traders everywhere were wondering if the "correction" in the euro was really over. And does this mean the bounce in the U.S. dollar earlier this week is history?

Here's a brief look at what's going on in the world of currencies...

Yesterday, the euro and British pound rallied sharply on a surprise surge in business confidence in Germany.

Bond traders seem to believe the euro-zone is recovering, because European government bonds fell for the 11th day in a row. According to Bloomberg, that's the longest losing streak for European bonds in more than 15 years.

The U.S. dollar is still getting crushed, even after the good news in the housing market and higher than expected producer price index numbers.

And U.S. bonds are still flat. That suggests bond traders are still betting on U.S. slowdown, no mater what.

So, either this is an "oversold" reaction for the euro or an "overbought" reaction in the dollar. One day doesn't make a trend, but the U.S. dollar rally could be behind us. If so, euro could be headed for US$1.35. (The all-time high for the euro was US$1.36 set back in December 2004.) 

JACK CROOKS, Currency Director


Announcement

Thursday Office Hours

Our office will be closed this afternoon for our holiday party. Our customer service team will be available to answer your questions 9 AM - 5 PM EST tomorrow. Or you can email them at info@sovereignsociety.com.

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