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Freedom, Privacy and Prosperity in the Offshore World
Insidious New Exit Tax May Cost Expats Dearly!
February 14, 2007


The
            Sovereign Society Offshore A-Letter

 


Tuesday, February 13, 2007
Vol. 9 No. 38
In Today's Letter:
Comment: Insidious New Exit Tax May Cost Expats Dearly!
Wealth: How to Bet Your Home on the Chinese Stock Market!
Bonus Wealth: Investing In the "17%-Down Club": Three Contrarian Value Plays!
Insidious New Exit Tax
May Cost Expats Dearly!

Today's comment is by Mark Nestmann, The Sovereign Society's Wealth Preservation and Tax Consultant and President of The Nestmann Group.

Dear A-Letter Reader,

Congress is on the verge of passing an outrageous law that would impose the first-ever "exit tax" on expatriates (former U.S. citizens or long-term residents).

Like many outrageous laws, this ridiculous bill is cleverly hidden within another Act. In this case, it's buried in the "Small Business and Work Opportunity Act." Sounds innocent enough right? 

The Small Business and Work Opportunity Act includes an increase in the minimum wage along with tax breaks for small businesses. That means once this bill emerges from the conference committee, and both houses of Congress approve the bill, it would be political hari-kari for President Bush not to sign it. 

Right now, this bill is stuck in a conference committee in Congress. If it passes, it could include a little-known provision, which demands that expatriates pay a tax on all unrealized gains of their worldwide estate. The gains will be assessed based on the fair market value of the expatriate's assets and the tax due within 90 days of expatriation.

Legislative Overkill!

This exit tax applies to assets held in retirement plans and trusts, both domestic and foreign. The only thing it doesn't apply to is U.S. real estate investments, which remain subject to U.S. tax under existing law.

Presumably, the phantom gain would be taxed as ordinary income (at rates as high as 35%) or capital gains (at either a 15% or 25% rate), as provided under current law. When the assets are actually sold, no further U.S. tax will be due (although the gain might be taxed again by the country in which the expatriate resides, leading to double taxation on the same income).

The section of the bill that applies to retirement plans is particularly unfair. First, these gains are generally taxed at the expatriate's top marginal tax rate - up to 35% - and usually aren't eligible for the more favorable 15% long-term capital gains rate. Also, expatriates who must withdraw assets from retirement plan to pay this tax, and are under 59-1/2 years old, will be hit with a 10% penalty tax on top of the exit tax. And finally, when distributions are actually made, the country where the expat resides could tax those distributions a second time. Talk about legislative overkill!

In all cases, the first US$600,000 of gains will excluded from the exit tax (US$1.2 million in the case of married individuals filing a joint return, both of whom relinquish citizenship or terminate long-term residence). That exclusion will increase each year as the cost of living adjusts.

There are two exemptions to this horrific bill. Unfortunately, neither of these exceptions applies to most "covered expatriates:"

  • An individual born with citizenship both in the United States and in another country. They are exempt provided that (a) as of the expatriation date, the individual continues to be a citizen of, and is taxed as a resident of another country, and (b) the individual was not a resident of the United States for the five taxable years ending with the year of expatriation.

  • A U.S. citizen who relinquishes U.S. citizenship before reaching age 18 1/2, provided that the individual was a resident of the United States for no more than five taxable years before he or she expatriated.

Plugging the "Billionaire's Loophole"

The uproar over expatriation wouldn't even exist if there weren't an existing quirk in the U.S. Tax Code. U.S. citizens, unlike citizens of almost every other country in the world, are taxed on the basis of their citizenship, not their residence.

Individuals living in the United Kingdom, Japan, Australia, or almost every other country merely need to leave those countries and become non-resident for an extended period to stop paying taxes in their home country.  But not the United States: it taxes all the earnings of all its citizens, whether they live in Miami, Montreal, Moscow, or Mumbai. 

Since the publication of an article in Forbes magazine in 1994 describing how a handful of billionaires had given up their U.S. citizenship to escape the clutches of the IRS, the image of former U.S. citizens living tax-free in some tropical paradise has been an irresistible populist target. 

Sam Gibbons, a now-retired Florida Democrat, referring to expatriates, spoke of  "the despicable act of renouncing allegiance to the United States." Former Congressman Rep. Martin Frost, a Texas Democrat, supported an exit tax on the basis of "basic patriotism and basic fairness."

Given attitudes like these, it's not surprising that our political solons have decided to enact an exit tax on "rich" expatriates.  However, the tax will affect many more than just a handful of wealthy Americans who become tax exiles by giving up their U.S citizenship. It will also affect hundreds of thousands of wealthy long-term green card holders (many of whom no longer reside in the United States) who are not U.S. citizens.

If anything, it's very likely that this new exit tax will inspire these wealthy non-citizen residents to leave the U.S., if they haven't already lived here for eight years. Not to mention, it will discourage successful foreigners from taking up residence in the U.S. at all.

How Are You Supposed to Pay This Exit Tax?

But if you're affected by the exit tax, there are much greater practical problems to consider. The most obvious one is how do you come up with the cash to pay the tax without selling the underlying assets? For illiquid, highly appreciated assets, such as a closely held business, it may be impossible to come up with the necessary cash to pay the tax. 

For such situations, there are provisions in the law to permit deferral of the exit tax, but they come with a stiff price.

  • First, interest is charged for the period the tax is deferred at a rate two percentage points higher than the rate normally applied to individual underpayments

  • Second, deferral is possible only if the expat invests in a U.S. Treasury bond that matches the amount of the deferred tax. For owners of illiquid property that can't easily be sold or borrowed against, the only way they will be able to post the necessary bond will be to pledge the property itself to the U.S. government. 

There's also a stinger to consider for those who might be tempted not to comply. This new law states that anyone who does not comply with the new U.S. Tax Code will be denied entry to the United States.

By enacting an exit tax, the United States joins the ranks of Nazi Germany and the former Soviet Union, which confiscated part (and sometimes all) of the assets of wealthy emigrants. Apartheid South Africa imposed a similar levy on emigrating whites. 

And for what? The exit tax is estimated to raise only US$250 million over the next five years. That's a drop in a bucket compared to the annual US$250 billion federal deficit. Of course, these estimates don't include the losses in revenue from highly talented individuals who may not ever establish U.S. residence or citizenship because they want to avoid such harsh tax consequences.

A Glimmer of Hope - Buried in Our Constitution

One possible glimmer of hope is that U.S. courts may declare the exit tax unconstitutional. The right to expatriate is fundamental in American law. Indeed, the Declaration of Independence cited it as a "law of nature." The U.S. Constitution guarantees the right to end U.S. citizenship, to live and travel abroad freely, and to acquire citizenship from other nations. All of these rights have been affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court. 

Will America's highest court have the courage to defend what populists scornfully refer to as the "billionaire's loophole?" I'm not holding my breath-and neither should you.

MARK NESTMANN, Wealth Preservation & Tax Consultant &
President of the Nestmann Group
assetpro@nestmann.com
www.nestmann.com

P.S. I've prepared a special report on the "billionaire's loophole" and the implications of this insidious new "exit tax" could have on wealthy Americans considering expatriation. To learn more about this report, click below.

LINK: http://www.nestmann.com/catalog/product_info.php?cPath=21&products_id=43


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Wealth

China Investment Strategy: How to Bet Your Home on the Stock Market!

I found it difficult to stop laughing long enough to type this story after reading a terrific article that appeared in the Financial Times recently. To find clear anecdotal evidence that Chinese mainland stock markets may be overheated, you need not go any further than the delicious headline: "Chinese bet the house on shares going through the roof"!

In this article, Geoff Dyer explains that China's pawnshops are doing a land-office business these days, extending credit to Chinese homeowners who are perfectly willing to put up their dwellings as collateral for money to invest in the booming stock market.

Yes, you read that right!

Three years ago, state-run pawnshops in urban Chinese cities began accepting houses and apartments as collateral to make consumer loans. At first, customers wanted fast access to this unconventional source of cash to fund start up business enterprises amid the booming economy. But lately, pawnshop patrons have turned to hocking their homes to raise funds for stock market speculation instead.

Retail stock market investment in China is booming, with nearly 1.4 million new brokerage accounts opened in the month of January alone. And all this red-hot trading capital must come from somewhere.

According to official China Securities Journal reports, Beijing homeowners extracted 1.5 billion renminbi in 2006 by hocking their homes. And it seems that much of that cash was directed into mainland stocks - which helps explain the 130% gain in the Shanghai Index last year.
Do you remember how commentators expressed worry about all the home-equity extraction that took place in U.S. housing over the last few years? Well the financial ingenuity displayed by the Chinese puts us to shame!

MIKE BURNICK, Senior Editor

P.S. Read more about how China's household-carry-trade, and what Beijing should do to quell this speculative frenzy, click here to read my blog.


Bonus-Wealth

Investing In the "17%-Down Club": Three Contrarian Value Plays!

Though I've been early on the following trades, I'm still very bullish on three positions that remain 17% off their 52-week highs, trade at low price-to-earnings multiples and harbor the best absolute values in a generally expensive global equity market environment.
 
1. Gold Stocks: The Philadelphia Gold & Silver Index, (XAU), which tracks publicly traded mining companies, hit an all-time high last spring but has since corrected. The XAU now trades 17% off its best level of 168.62. I like gold this decade because I believe the Federal Reserve and other central banks will print money to keep economic growth alive, debase their currencies and in the end, probably invite higher inflation. Also, gold has been the growing alternative to paper money over the last six years as no government seeks a strong currency in a world marked by competitive devaluations. From its low six years ago, gold bullion has gained a cumulative 167%, and I see more gains ahead. The bull market in gold - and mining shares - appears far from over.
 
2. Oil Services & Equipment Stocks: This sector led the bull market in energy over the last four years until mid-2006. Despite the weakness in oil and natural gas prices since last fall, most oil services companies are clocking superb earnings growth as rig lease rates have tripled over the last 12 months. There's a major deficit of rigs, especially in the Gulf of Mexico, North Sea and in parts of the Middle East. This sector, as defined by the Philadelphia Oil Service Index, has declined 17% from its all-time high last summer. I have no doubt that Peak Oil is here and over the longer term, oil prices are heading way above $150 a barrel. If you agree, then the oil services stocks are one of the biggest bargains of the decade following a the recent pull-back.
 
3. Taiwan - the other China: While the rest of Asia is sitting on all-time highs, Taiwan remains about 35% off its best level almost 16 years ago. Because of its technology exposure, Taiwan's stock index was massacred following the dot.com blow-up and has barely recovered. But I still like Taiwan because it offers terrific values right now. It's probably the most contrarian market in the world this year. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has declined 17% from its 52-week high while Taiwan's Weighted Price Index is down 5% off its 52-week high. But Taiwan has much to offer besides electronics - its market should surge again thanks to strong trade with booming Asian emerging markets.
 
Contrarian investing implies buying low and usually, buying early. But it's also home to big potential profits if you're a patient value investor. In 2007, the "17% Down-Club" ranks among my favorite for contrarians.
 
ERIC ROSEMAN, Investment Director


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